Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Mississippi, Alabama and the power of political surprises

For all of its unpredictability, there have been few actual surprises since voters began casting ballots in the 2012 Republican presidential race.

Mitt Romney won New Hampshire. Newt Gingrich won South Carolina. Romney won Florida. Even Rick Santorum’s (eventual) victory in Iowa wasn’t entirely surprising since polling suggested he was surging and social conservative candidates have a history of strong performances in the Hawkeye State. Santorum almost won in Michigan and Ohio, both of which would have been real surprises, but he didn’t.

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